Cacereño B vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacereño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CPC
2 - 2
CDC
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MIA
4 - 3
CPC
9%
18%
74%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CPC
3 - 1
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TAL
1 - 4
CPC
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CPC
4 - 0
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TRU
0 - 2
AMA
13%
21%
66%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
NAV
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CPL
0 - 0
AMA
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARR
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CDD
0 - 1
AMA
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |