Vélez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
VEL
0 - 2
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
LAN
0 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 2
VEL
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
HUR
2 - 2
VEL
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 3
ALM
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
EST
1 - 2
ARG
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
RIV
6 - 2
EST
75%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
BOC
1 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
EST
0 - 0
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
CHA
0 - 3
EST
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |