Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
VEL
37%
28%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 2
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLP
80%
15%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
HUR
52%
26%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 2
VEL
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 0
CEN
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
IRV
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |