Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
VEL
2 - 5
ARG
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
VEL
2 - 0
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1998 |
PLA
3 - 5
VEL
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1998 |
VEL
0 - 3
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1998 |
NOB
1 - 0
VEL
23%
27%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
COL
1 - 1
RIV
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
RIV
1 - 0
PLA
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1998 |
RAC
2 - 2
RIV
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1998 |
RIV
2 - 0
NOB
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1998 |
BEL
0 - 1
RIV
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |