Vélez Sarsfield vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 0
VEL
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
2 - 2
VEL
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
VEL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 1
NOB
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
GOD
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
LAN
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
COL
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |