CA Tubarão vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
3 - 0
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
TUB
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
SLU
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CAC
2 - 1
TUB
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOV
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
JEC
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
MAR
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -3 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRI
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |