CA Tubarão vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 1
TUB
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
TUB
3 - 2
CAC
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FFL
0 - 0
TUB
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TUB
1 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ATP
5 - 4
TUB
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
INT
0 - 0
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 0
CAC
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |