Rosario Central vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
VEL
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 3
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 2
CEN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
TIG
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
SAR
60%
24%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
BOC
29%
27%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 0
SAR
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
ARG
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |