Rosario Central vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CEN
34%
31%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAI
58%
25%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 0
CEN
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RAF
0 - 1
CEN
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PAT
2 - 2
CEN
28%
30%
42%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
SMA
30%
32%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
MER
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MER
0 - 3
SMA
29%
31%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
MER
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
DYJ
28%
29%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |