River Plate vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAL
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ATT
0 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
RIV
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
4 - 2
NOB
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
SMA
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
ALD
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
IND
4 - 0
CAA
81%
15%
5%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
GLP
1 - 0
IND
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
IND
1 - 3
RAC
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
IND
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |