River Plate vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
TIG
1 - 1
RIV
25%
26%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARG
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
8 - 0
JWI
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 3
RIV
25%
26%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
JWI
3 - 0
RIV
29%
26%
46%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DYJ
0 - 0
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COL
3 - 1
DYJ
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 3
CAU
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
DYJ
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
DYJ
4 - 4
GLP
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |