River Plate vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 1
RIV
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 0
CRZ
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
RIV
11%
19%
71%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 7
RIV
6%
18%
76%
|
86 | 28 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 1
GLP
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 0
IRV
65%
21%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
LAN
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 0
LAN
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEL
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |