CA Lugano vs San Martín Burzaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PUE
0 - 2
LUG
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
CAA
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ARQ
4 - 2
LUG
67%
21%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
MUÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
LUG
38%
30%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
ITU
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 1
SMA
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 1
CES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
YUP
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 4
SMA
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |