CA Lugano vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
3 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 1
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 4
CAA
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
LUG
33%
29%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 3
UAI
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 1
YUP
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RIE
2 - 1
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
JUU
1 - 3
RIE
33%
29%
39%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2009 |
RIE
4 - 1
MUÑ
71%
20%
10%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ARQ
1 - 0
RIE
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |