CA Lugano vs Cañuelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
CLA
0 - 2
LUG
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
SBA
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 3
RIE
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SMG
0 - 0
LUG
56%
26%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 0
YUP
27%
27%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cañuelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
POR
44%
29%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
CAÑ
57%
25%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAÑ
61%
24%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
SBA
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 1
CAÑ
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |