Lanús vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 3
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALD
1 - 2
LAN
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
NOB
3 - 1
LAN
32%
25%
44%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
LAN
6 - 2
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 3
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 3
DYJ
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
DYJ
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
DYJ
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |