CA Atlas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
MUÑ
0 - 0
CAA
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 0
ARR
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
CAA
8%
18%
74%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAA
3 - 0
ALE
65%
22%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
YUP
1 - 3
CAA
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
DPA
47%
27%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
VIC
65%
22%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |