América Gen. San Martín vs Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Gen. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CSD
0 - 2
CAA
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 3
DPV
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FON
2 - 1
CAA
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
3 - 0
CSD
69%
17%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FON
2 - 2
DPV
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FON
3 - 0
CSD
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FON
2 - 1
CAA
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DPV
3 - 2
FON
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
SOL
4 - 1
FON
50%
25%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |