Mérida UD vs Albacete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
AGD
1 - 2
MER
48%
29%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
CDB
0 - 1
MER
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
MER
0 - 0
TAL
38%
30%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
UBC
0 - 0
MER
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
MER
2 - 0
UBC
33%
29%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
EIB
1 - 1
ALB
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ALB
2 - 3
VAD
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2005 |
ALB
2 - 1
POL
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 0
ALB
44%
28%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
RAC
1 - 0
ALB
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |