C.D. Zarza vs Santa Bárbara 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+204%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ROS
1 - 0
CDZ
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDZ
1 - 2
ALO
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 3
CDZ
25%
25%
50%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDZ
3 - 0
ARO
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Bárbara 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 0
SAN
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
CLU
22%
21%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 2
SAN
46%
22%
33%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIL
42%
21%
37%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |