San Bernardo vs Tesorillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+1035%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALG
3 - 2
CDS
34%
24%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CDV
0 - 1
CDS
24%
24%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
UDT
0 - 1
CDS
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CDS
1 - 2
CHI
49%
23%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CDS
3 - 2
GUA
22%
23%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDT
1 - 0
UDT
20%
22%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
UDT
5 - 2
ALG
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
UDT
0 - 1
CDS
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BAZ
2 - 3
UDT
16%
21%
63%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UDT
3 - 0
CDV
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |