Buxton vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BUX
3 - 2
MAT
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 1
BUX
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUX
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BUX
4 - 1
STO
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
BUX
0 - 3
WIT
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 0
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 0
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
STA
2 - 2
NAN
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WIT
3 - 0
STA
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |