Buxton vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
BUX
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
BUX
0 - 2
MIC
63%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 3
BUX
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BUX
3 - 2
FRI
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ASH
1 - 4
BUX
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
CHA
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 3
CHA
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
FRI
5 - 0
CHA
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 0
GRE
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |