Buxton vs Atherton Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
BUX
1 - 2
CIT
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BUX
3 - 1
RFC
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 2
BUX
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
0 - 1
BUX
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAM
1 - 2
BUX
32%
23%
46%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atherton Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
ATH
0 - 3
CIT
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
RFC
0 - 3
ATH
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WIT
2 - 1
ATH
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
ATH
5 - 0
BAM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 1
STA
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |