Bury vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
BCF
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
WRE
2 - 1
BCF
31%
29%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
BCF
3 - 0
ROT
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BCF
2 - 1
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 4
BCF
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
GRI
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAN
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 4
ROC
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
WRE
1 - 1
MAN
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |