Bury vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
BCF
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
BCF
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 2
SCU
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
3 - 1
BCF
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
WAL
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 4
SWI
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
DON
3 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
OLD
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |