Bury vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 2
GUL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 0
BCF
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
MOR
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
BCF
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
STF
0 - 3
BCF
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALD
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 3
CHE
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
STO
70%
18%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
STE
4 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 2
GUL
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |