Burnley vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
EVE
3 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEE
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUR
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROC
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 0
TRA
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
ROC
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
4 - 0
LIV
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |