Burnley vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 0
CHA
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
OPA
1 - 0
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
CHA
3 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
BUR
2 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
CHL
2 - 3
NEW
67%
18%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 5
PNE
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 2
CHL
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 3
NEW
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
MIL
68%
17%
16%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |