Burgos vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SLA
1 - 1
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
ATH
27%
28%
45%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
EIB
20%
28%
52%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 2
LEM
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
BUR
67%
21%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
LEM
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 1
PON
27%
30%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
ATH
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SES
1 - 2
PON
18%
29%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
CFP
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |