Deportivo Alavés vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
CAD
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LEV
3 - 1
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
ESP
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CEL
4 - 0
ALA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIL
12%
20%
68%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 0
GIR
16%
25%
59%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 1
BUR
50%
29%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
BUR
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 2
ALM
17%
26%
57%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |