Non League Premier Isthmian Jor. 5

Burgess Hill Town vs Harrow Borough analysis

Burgess Hill Town Harrow Borough
40 ELO 39
2.8% Tilt -4.9%
10580º General ELO ranking 9427º
570º Country ELO ranking 476º
ELO win probability
56%
Burgess Hill Town
22.6%
Draw
21.5%
Harrow Borough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
Burgess Hill Town
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.5%
Win probability
Harrow Borough
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Burgess Hill Town
+7%
-10%
Harrow Borough

ELO progression

Burgess Hill Town
Harrow Borough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Burgess Hill Town
Burgess Hill Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2015
ENF
Enfield Town
1 - 0
Burgess Hill Town
BUR
39%
25%
36%
43 37 6 0
15 Aug. 2015
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
1 - 2
Grays Athletic
GRA
47%
24%
29%
44 43 1 -1
12 Aug. 2015
BUR
Burgess Hill Town
2 - 0
VCD Athletic
VCD
60%
22%
18%
44 38 6 0
08 Aug. 2015
NEE
Needham Market
1 - 2
Burgess Hill Town
BUR
43%
25%
32%
43 40 3 +1
25 Apr. 2015
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
1 - 1
Burgess Hill Town
BUR
39%
25%
36%
43 38 5 0

Matches

Harrow Borough
Harrow Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2015
HAR
Harrow Borough
1 - 0
Brentwood Town
BRE
62%
20%
18%
37 31 6 0
15 Aug. 2015
LEW
Lewes
1 - 1
Harrow Borough
HAR
30%
25%
45%
37 31 6 0
08 Aug. 2015
HAR
Harrow Borough
1 - 1
Hampton & Richmond
HAM
46%
24%
30%
37 38 1 0
25 Apr. 2015
LEA
Leatherhead
0 - 1
Harrow Borough
HAR
51%
24%
25%
36 40 4 +1
18 Apr. 2015
HAR
Harrow Borough
2 - 0
Kingstonian
KIN
39%
25%
36%
34 39 5 +2
X