FA Trophy . 1/128
Global 3-3
Burgess Hill Town vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
5 - 1
BEA
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 0
HEN
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 3
NEE
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 5
DOV
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 4
ROY
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 2
COR
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
EGH
2 - 0
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
AFD
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |