Bulgaria U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
DNK
1 - 0
BGR
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BGR
2 - 0
ARM
46%
23%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
ROU
0 - 2
BGR
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
AUT
3 - 1
BGR
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
WLS
1 - 1
ROU
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
WLS
2 - 1
ARM
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
DNK
0 - 0
WLS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
LUX
1 - 3
WLS
16%
22%
61%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
WLS
3 - 1
BGR
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |