Bulgaria U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
BGR
2 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
BGR
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
7 - 1
BGR
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
1 - 3
CRO
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 1
BGR
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
CRO
9%
16%
76%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
BGR
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
BEL
10%
19%
71%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
CRO
3 - 1
EST
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
POR
4 - 0
EST
86%
10%
3%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | 0 |