Bulgaria U21 vs Austria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
KAZ
2 - 0
BGR
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ROU
1 - 1
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BGR
2 - 1
GRC
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
MNE
0 - 0
BGR
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
BGR
2 - 0
IRL
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
AUT
1 - 2
CHE
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
AUT
2 - 2
ITA
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
AUT
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
FIN
2 - 1
AUT
37%
26%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
AUT
2 - 1
FIN
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |