Nurafshon vs Mashal II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nurafshon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
UDJ
5 - 1
NUR
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
SEM
10 - 0
NUR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
NUR
0 - 1
LOK
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NUR
2 - 1
HOT
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
QBA
4 - 0
NUR
59%
21%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mashal II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
SEM
3 - 0
MAS
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
UDJ
0 - 1
MAS
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
MAS
2 - 1
HOT
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAS
7 - 0
LOK
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FKZ
2 - 1
MAS
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |