Buelna vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buelna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ISD
0 - 3
BUE
8%
15%
77%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
BUE
6%
13%
81%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BUE
3 - 1
RSC
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BUE
1 - 0
OLI
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TCD
2 - 1
BUE
8%
14%
77%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
RSC
21%
20%
60%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAS
50%
21%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
TCD
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
COM
60%
19%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
3 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |