Buchbach vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
6 - 0
ANS
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ERB
0 - 0
BUC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
BUC
4 - 1
BAD
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 1
BUC
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 1
BUC
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
RAI
3 - 2
ERB
48%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
RAI
35%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
RAI
1 - 0
ROS
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 3
RAI
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
RAI
0 - 0
TSV
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |