Buchbach vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 2
BUC
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 2
BUC
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
BAY
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AUG
1 - 2
BUC
26%
23%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 3
WUR
62%
19%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
ELT
1 - 2
NUR
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ELT
1 - 1
ROS
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ING
3 - 0
ELT
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ELT
1 - 2
MEM
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 5
ILL
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |