Brunei vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brunei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 0
BRN
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MMR
5 - 0
BRN
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
MDV
1 - 1
BRN
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
IND
5 - 0
BRN
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
BRN
0 - 1
IND
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NPL
2 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
NPL
3 - 1
BTN
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
IND
2 - 1
NPL
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 1
NPL
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | +1 |