Highland Football League Scotland Round 20

Brora Rangers vs Rothes analysis

Brora Rangers Rothes
51 ELO 36
11% Tilt 44.1%
2874º General ELO ranking 12101º
32º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
78.7%
Brora Rangers
13.9%
Draw
7.4%
Rothes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
Brora Rangers
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
Rothes
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brora Rangers
-20%
-40%
Rothes

Points and table prediction

Brora Rangers
Their league position
Rothes
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
44
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Brora Rangers
Rothes
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Brora Rangers
Rothes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brora Rangers
Brora Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
BRO
Brora Rangers
1 - 0
Huntly
HUN
87%
10%
4%
51 29 22 0
12 Apr. 2023
BRO
Brora Rangers
1 - 0
Lossiemouth
LOS
90%
8%
2%
51 21 30 0
08 Apr. 2023
BRO
Brora Rangers
2 - 1
Formartine United
FOR
56%
22%
23%
50 48 2 +1
05 Apr. 2023
BRE
Brechin City
0 - 0
Brora Rangers
BRO
51%
21%
28%
50 53 3 0
01 Apr. 2023
INV
Inverurie Loco Works
2 - 4
Brora Rangers
BRO
12%
16%
73%
49 37 12 +1

Matches

Rothes
Rothes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2023
ROT
Rothes
0 - 2
Huntly
HUN
72%
16%
12%
38 28 10 0
15 Apr. 2023
LOS
Lossiemouth
2 - 4
Rothes
ROT
13%
18%
69%
38 21 17 0
08 Apr. 2023
ROT
Rothes
1 - 1
Deveronvale
DEV
83%
11%
6%
38 20 18 0
01 Apr. 2023
ROT
Rothes
0 - 3
Fraserburgh
FRA
11%
17%
73%
38 53 15 0
22 Mar. 2023
TUR
Turriff United
3 - 1
Rothes
ROT
14%
18%
68%
40 22 18 -2