Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 3-7
Brøndby IF vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
BIF
1 - 2
ACH
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
BIF
4 - 1
GDA
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
BIF
3 - 2
OBK
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
GDA
2 - 1
BIF
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
RAN
2 - 2
BIF
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SPB
2 - 2
TON
76%
16%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
SPB
0 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
SPB
0 - 2
LIL
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
SPB
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 2
SPB
18%
24%
59%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |