League One round 26

Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion analysis

Bristol Rovers Burton Albion
54 ELO 58
4.5% Tilt -5.7%
2069º General ELO ranking 2666º
66º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Bristol Rovers
26.4%
Draw
35.2%
Burton Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.2%
Win probability
Burton Albion
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bristol Rovers
-15%
-23%
Burton Albion

ELO progression

Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2018
OXF
Oxford United
0 - 2
Bristol Rovers
BRO
64%
21%
15%
53 59 6 0
26 Dec. 2018
WAL
Walsall
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers
BRO
54%
24%
22%
52 54 2 +1
22 Dec. 2018
BRO
Bristol Rovers
2 - 1
Fleetwood Town
FLE
39%
26%
35%
51 56 5 +1
15 Dec. 2018
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
70%
20%
10%
51 65 14 0
08 Dec. 2018
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 4
Doncaster Rovers
DON
29%
26%
46%
52 60 8 -1

Matches

Burton Albion
Burton Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 2018
BUR
Burton Albion
1 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
65%
21%
14%
58 49 9 0
26 Dec. 2018
BUR
Burton Albion
3 - 1
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
46%
26%
28%
57 56 1 +1
22 Dec. 2018
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
66%
20%
14%
58 66 8 -1
18 Dec. 2018
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Burton Albion
BUR
63%
23%
14%
57 73 16 +1
15 Dec. 2018
FLE
Fleetwood Town
1 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
39%
26%
35%
57 55 2 0