Bristol City vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BRI
3 - 1
BAR
47%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 0
TWE
33%
24%
43%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 3
BRI
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 6
BRI
6%
11%
83%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 3
BRI
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
POS
2 - 1
PLY
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 1
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
GUL
0 - 2
PLY
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
TIV
1 - 2
PLY
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GRI
1 - 1
PLY
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |