EFL Cup Quarter-finals

Bristol City vs Manchester United analysis

Bristol City Manchester United
75 ELO 89
8% Tilt 9.9%
497º General ELO ranking 12º
31º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.7%
Bristol City
22.9%
Draw
59.3%
Manchester United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
Bristol City
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.3%
Win probability
Manchester United
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Bristol City
Manchester United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bristol City
Bristol City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2017
BRI
Bristol City
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
65%
21%
15%
74 63 11 0
08 Dec. 2017
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 2
Bristol City
BRI
40%
26%
34%
74 70 4 0
02 Dec. 2017
BRI
Bristol City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
52%
25%
23%
73 72 1 +1
25 Nov. 2017
HUL
Hull City
2 - 3
Bristol City
BRI
43%
25%
32%
73 70 3 0
21 Nov. 2017
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 2
Preston North End
PNE
59%
23%
18%
74 66 8 -1

Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2017
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
19%
24%
58%
89 80 9 0
13 Dec. 2017
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
70%
20%
11%
89 80 9 0
10 Dec. 2017
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
34%
25%
40%
89 90 1 0
05 Dec. 2017
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 1
CSKA Moskva
CSK
57%
23%
19%
89 84 5 0
02 Dec. 2017
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 3
Manchester United
MUD
41%
25%
34%
89 87 2 0
X