Brisbane Roar vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
BEI
0 - 1
BRI
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
URA
1 - 0
GAM
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 2
URA
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
URA
2 - 1
NAG
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
URA
1 - 2
SUW
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
URA
2 - 1
FCY
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |