Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 2
MFC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
5 - 2
MEL
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
ADE
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
MCI
28%
25%
48%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
WES
1 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
WPH
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
MFC
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |