Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
BEI
0 - 1
BRI
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 3
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
SUW
3 - 1
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 4
SYD
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
NEW
72%
17%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 2
PER
31%
27%
41%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
WES
1 - 2
NEW
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |