Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
ADE
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 2
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
WUF
0 - 0
MEL
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ULS
3 - 0
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |